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Data

SBA Default Rates by Industry

How often SBA 7(a) acquisition loans actually go bad, by industry. Computed from loan-level SBA data, on loans old enough to have failed.

What the Numbers Say

Across the 20 industries with enough seasoned loans to measure, 169 of 4,809 acquisition loans have been charged off: a pooled rate of 3.51%. The spread underneath that average is the useful part. The riskiest industry on this page charges off at 10.66%, and several land near zero. Same loan program, same buyer profile, an order of magnitude apart.

Read the ordering, not the level. These rates count loans already written off; loans still open can still fail, so every number here is a floor rather than a final tally.

Charge-Off Rate by Industry

Fitness and Recreational Sports Centers

10.66%

21 of 197 seasoned loans · median loan $303,750

Full Guide

Snack and Nonalcoholic Beverage Bars

7.03%

9 of 128 seasoned loans · median loan $350,000

Full Guide

Full-Service Restaurants

5.76%

42 of 729 seasoned loans · median loan $427,600

Full Guide

Drycleaning and Laundry Services (except Coin-Operated)

5.49%

9 of 164 seasoned loans · median loan $422,000

Full Guide

Offices of Chiropractors

4.88%

6 of 123 seasoned loans · median loan $293,200

Landscaping Services

4.51%

6 of 133 seasoned loans · median loan $500,000

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Plumbing, Heating, and Air-Conditioning Contractors

4.38%

6 of 137 seasoned loans · median loan $735,000

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Limited-Service Restaurants

4.31%

27 of 627 seasoned loans · median loan $370,000

Full Guide

General Automotive Repair

3.50%

7 of 200 seasoned loans · median loan $591,700

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Insurance Agencies and Brokerages

3.47%

5 of 144 seasoned loans · median loan $760,500

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Pharmacies and Drug Stores

2.94%

4 of 136 seasoned loans · median loan $1,100,000

Convenience Stores

2.59%

3 of 116 seasoned loans · median loan $476,000

Home Health Care Services

2.50%

3 of 120 seasoned loans · median loan $705,900

Beauty Salons

2.03%

3 of 148 seasoned loans · median loan $270,000

Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores

1.48%

6 of 405 seasoned loans · median loan $623,500

Full Guide

Child Day Care Services

1.28%

3 of 234 seasoned loans · median loan $783,000

Full Guide

Hotels (except Casino Hotels) and Motels

1.26%

7 of 556 seasoned loans · median loan $2,671,000

Car Washes

0.86%

1 of 116 seasoned loans · median loan $1,231,900

Full Guide

Gasoline Stations with Convenience Stores

0.37%

1 of 268 seasoned loans · median loan $1,223,600

Offices of Dentists

0.00%

0 of 128 seasoned loans · median loan $740,800

Full Guide

Charge-Off Rate by Franchise Brand

Anytime Fitness

9.52%

4 of 42 seasoned loans

Subway

4.42%

5 of 113 seasoned loans

Quality Inn by Choice Hotels

1.85%

1 of 54 seasoned loans

Best Western - Membership Agre

0.00%

0 of 32 seasoned loans

Days Inn by Wyndham

0.00%

0 of 37 seasoned loans

Smartstyle

0.00%

0 of 30 seasoned loans

Super 8 by Wyndhan

0.00%

0 of 34 seasoned loans

Supercuts

0.00%

0 of 35 seasoned loans

The UPS Store

0.00%

0 of 50 seasoned loans

How This Is Computed

Every rate comes from the SBA's loan-level 7(a) disclosure, not from a survey or an aggregator. The cohort is FY2018-19 change-of-ownership approvals (7-8 years seasoned): loans old enough that a failure would already have shown up as a charge-off.

Rates computed over recent loans are the common mistake. A loan approved last year has barely had time to go bad, so a recent cohort makes every industry look safe and makes the safest ones indistinguishable from the riskiest. That is why the numbers above deliberately exclude the newest loans, even though there are far more of them.

An industry needs 100 seasoned loans to appear here, and a franchise brand needs 30. Below that, a single default swings the rate by several points, and a ranking of small samples is a ranking of noise. Industries that miss the cut are left out rather than published with a number we would not trust. The pooled rate is computed from summed loans and charge-offs, so a large industry counts more than a small one.

Charge-off rates come from the seasoned cohort only; FY2020+ loans are too young to have defaulted. Rates are a lower bound (open loans can still fail), so read the ordering, not the level.

Source: SBA 7(a) and 504 FOIA data. Loans are limited to change-of-ownership approvals, which is what a buyer is actually taking on.

More Reference Data

Everything here is educational information, not financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Figures are estimates or cited third-party data; verify anything that matters against primary sources and your own advisors before acting on it.