Underwrite a Deal
The Target
Verdict
- WatchOwnership or licensing is restricted here
State licenses set capacity through space and staff-ratio rules; director qualifications are often license-critical.
- Watch2 PE firms already consolidating this industry
Cadence Education, Endeavor Schools. Expect competition on price, and a plausible exit if you build something bigger.
- GoodDSCR after your salary is 2.29
Above the 1.25 rule of thumb.
- GoodAsking 3.0x, inside the cited band
Priced where this industry trades.
- GoodIndustry charges off at 1.28% against 4.20% across all industries
SBA acquisition loans in this industry fail less often than average.
The Number That Should Set Your Offer
At $500,000 of SDE, a $100,000 owner salary, $200,000 of cash, and a 10% seller note, the most this business can carry at a 1.25 DSCR is $2,561,235. The ask sits $1,061,235 under it.
Structure
- Equity (your cash)
- $200,000
- Seller note
- $150,000
- 7(a) loan
- $1,150,000
- Annual debt service
- $174,813
- DSCR
- 2.29
- Implied multiple
- 3.00x
- Cited band
- 1.9x–4x SDE
Context
- Deals financed (FY2020 through FY2025)
- 214
- Industry median loan
- $701,500
- Industry charge-off
- 1.28% (all: 4.20%)
- State median loan
- –
- State FY2025 loans
- –
The median is a loan, not a price: equity and seller notes sit on top. Charge-off rates come from the seasoned cohort only; FY2020+ loans are too young to have defaulted. Rates are a lower bound (open loans can still fail), so read the ordering, not the level.
Licensing: Director retention treated as a closing condition; read the license and floor plan together.